Early Warning/Early Action Pilot Burkina Faso
The Early Warning/Early Action project was a pilot carried out by PAX, in cooperation with the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA), 1GNC and the Common Effort Community. During the pilot, which was carried out in 2019 and at the start of 2020, PAX acted as the project coordinator.
Goals and objectives of the pilot
The main objective of the Early Warning/Early Action pilot was to test a new method for threat analysis. Using this approach, the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs and its partners could quickly develop integrated and context-specific threat analyses. As a result, they could identify opportunities for early-action initiatives and streamline decision-making processes.
Early Warning/Early Action Pilot: Methodology
The project consisted of a diverse group of experts on early warning/early action and other conflict prevention-related topics. This included local and international researchers, humanitarian workers, military staff and political actors. The project combined comprehensive human security risk assessments with local insights and recent data innovations, such as remote sensing, Open Source Intelligence and media analysis. Using these methods, the team quickly identified emergent conflict risks , such as the ethnicization of conflict, and the (mis)management of land disputes.